Stock Market Watch for the Week of February 4th

Stocks closed the month of January strong, as it had its best start to the year since 1987. It all happened while the government was mostly shut down, and trade talks between China still ongoing.

That said, comments out of the Federal Reserve Bank, have been the main driver for the rally in the stock market. On January 30, the FOMC decided to leave interest rates untouched. Also, they removed references of further gradual rate increases, as they plan to continue with current floor approach.

In other words, the Fed is doing its best to please the markets. That said, the focus for the coming week is the State of the Union Address, earnings, and more earnings. We’ll be getting quarterly results from Alphabet, Disney, Electronic Arts, and GM.

So far, earnings have been mixed. For example, Amazon, Nvidia, and Apple have guided lower, while oil companies like Exxon and Chevron are starting to break out towards the upside.

That said, volatility has come in a lot since December 24, when the VIX traded above 36. However, it closed at 16.16 on Friday, a sign that traders are becoming complacent once again.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +1.61%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.25%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.25%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +1.39%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +3.38%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.36%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +1.33%

Economic Releases:
5 Feb 2019- State of the Union Address 9PM ET

6 Feb 2019- International Trade 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

7 Feb 2019- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
4 Feb 2019- GOOGL, STX, WSM, GILD, ON, CLX, SYY, ALXN

5 Feb 2019- ADM, EL, EMR, ENR, HUBB, LAZ, RL, VIAB, WCG, WDR, APC, CERN, DATA, DIS, EA, GNW, MCHP, PAA, PAYC, SFLY, SKY, SNAP, SWKS, ULTI, VOYA, ZEN, VRTX

6 Feb 2019- BSX, GM, HUM, LLY, REGN, TTWO, WD, CMG, ELY, FEYE, GPRO, HIVE, IRBT, NEWR, MET, ORLY, PRU, ZNGA, WERN, VVV

7 Feb 2019- ADNT, AMAG, CAH, DNKN, EIGI, GRUB, HAIN, K, LEE, LH, PENN, TWTR, WWE, YUM, ANGI, EXPE, FISV, G, HUBG, IAC, MAT, NCR, QRVO, VRSN, VRTU

8 Feb 2019- ARNC, CBOE, CLF, COTY, EXC, PSX, RDN

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January 28, 2018 The Week Ahead

The markets continue to steam roll higher as we enter the busiest and most important week of the year. The S&P 500 and Dow are up a stunning 7% ytd, and the NASDAQ is up 8.5%

On Wednesday we’ll get word on whether or not the FOMC is going to raise key interest rates or leave them unchanged. Also, this is a heavy earnings week, with some of the largest publicly traded companies reporting.

Despite the strength in the market, the VIX remained steady, closing at 11.10, just a slight drop from last weeks 11.30 closing.

graph
Source: TradingView

Here are how some of the most widely traded index ETFs performed over the week:
Powershares QQQ ETF (QQQ): +2.76%; SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY): +2.20%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA): 2.06%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF 0.63%

Here is how some futures and commodity ETFs performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO): +4.09%; iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT): 0.42%; SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): +1.31%

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule for the week: McDonalds, Pfizer, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Alibaba, and Exxon.

Economic Releases:
29 Jan 2018- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET

31 Jan 2018- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Meeting Announcement 2:00 PM ET

1 Feb 2018- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; ISM Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET

2 Feb 2018- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
29 Jan 2018- D, LMT, STX, SOHU, ARE, CR, IDTI, PFG, RGA

30 Jan 2018- AKS, ALLY, BEN, DHR, DOV, EAT, GLW, HCA, HOG, MCD, NUE, PCAR, PFE, SAP, TROW, ZBH, CA, EA, JNPR, KNX, NATI, SYK, WRB

31 Jan 2018- ADP, BA, ANTM, BA, DHI, IR, IVZ, JCI, LLY, NDAQ, NYCB, SIRI, TMO, TUP, XRX, CTXS, DRE, EBAY, FB, MDLZ, MET, MSFT, PYPL, QCOM, QRVO, SYMC, T, VRTX, X

1 Feb 2018- BABA, APO, BSX, CME, COP, IP, MCK, MA, MO, R, RL, UPS, VLO, AAPL, AMGN, AMZN, DATA, GOOGL, MAT, MSI, RTEC, V, VIAV, VR, WFT, XL

2 Feb 2018- CHTR, CLX, MRK, PSX, ROP, WY, XOM

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October 22, 2017 The Week Ahead

All major indices closed the week higher as we enter the “meaty” part of earnings season. Despite all the negative press President Trump is attracting, the market doesn’t care.

Some earnings worth watching include: Amazon, BIDU, General Motors, Exxon, Alphabet, and Microsoft to name a few.

The “fear index” closed at 9.97 on Friday, a level in which traders are not shocked by anymore.

graph
Source: TradingView

Here are how some of the most traded ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.85%, iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) +0.41%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF (DIA) +1.92%, and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) +0.25%

Here is how some futures/commodity related ETF’s performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.58%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -1.49%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -1.78%

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule for the week:

Economic Releases:
24 Oct 2017- PMI Composite 9:45 AM ET

25 Oct 2017- Durable Goods 8:30 AM ET; New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

26 Oct 2017- International Trade 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

27 Oct 2017- GDP 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
23 Oct 2017- HAL, HAS, KMB, STT, STX, VFC, CR, JBT, OI, WHR, ZION

24 Oct 2017- AMTD, BIIB, CAT, CIT, CVLT, ETR, FITB, GM, INFY, GLW, JBLU, LLY, LMT, MAS, MCD, MMM, NVS, PCAR, PHM, PNR, R, SWK, UTX, WAT, WDR, AKAM, AMD, CMG, COF, DFS, ESRX, IRBT, JNPR, MANH, SFLY, T, TSS, TXN

25 Oct 2017- ALK, ALLY, BA, BAX, BTU, DPS, FCX, GRUB, HES, HBAN, IP, IR, KO, LEA, LH, LYG, NDAQ, NLSN, ABX, AFL, AMGN, CTXS, DLB, DLR, FFIV, FTI, KIM, LSTR, LVS, MC, MLNX, NXPI, ORLY, PKG, TSCO, TYL, XLNX

26 Oct 2017- AAL, ABX, APD, BEN, BMY, BSX, BWA, CELG, CHTR, CMCSA, CME, COP, DB, DNKN, ENTG, EQT, GEC, F, HLT, HSY, I, IDCC, IVZ, LAZ, LUV, MDP, MMC, MKC, NEM, NOK, OAK, PENN, POT, PX, RS, RTN, SPGI, TWTR, UNP, UPS, USG, VC, AMZN, BIDU, CDNS, DECK, CY, EXPE, FLEX, FTNT, GILD, GOOG, HIG, HUBG, KLAC, LPLA, MAT, MSFT, NATI, NOV, SAM, TRMB, VDSI, WDC

27 Oct 2017- B, CL, CVX, GT, LYB, MRK, PSX, RBS, SC, SHPG, TEN, TRU, UBS, WY, XOM

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April 23, 2017 The Week Ahead

Stocks rebounded across all major indices over the week. On Sunday, the world will shift their attentions to the upcoming French elections. Of course, depending on the outcome, it could create some much needed volatility for traders. However, the markets have proven to be resilient. Recent shocks like Brexit and the Trump presidential victory have only lead to short-lived bursts in volatility.

Outside of the French election, earnings will dominate the headlines, along with the release of the GDP numbers on Friday.

Here are how some of the most popular ETF Indices performed: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.89%, iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) +2.67%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF (DIA) +0.43%, and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) +1.66%

With the market posting strong gains, the VIX fell back to below the 15 level, closing Friday’s trading session at 14.63.

Some of the largest publically traded companies in the world will report this week. They include: Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Exxon, and Procter & Gamble.

Here are how some futures/commodity related ETF’s performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) -7.28%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.06%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.24%.

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule:

Key Economic Data:
25 April 2017- New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET
26 April 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
27 April 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM; International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET
28 April 2017- GDP 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
24 April 2017- HAL, KMB, HLX, AA, ESRX, CDNS, NEM, RMBS, SLCA, SWFT, SANM, WHR, ZION
25 April 2017- AKS, CAT, CIT, CNC, DD, FCX, GLW, KO, LLY, LMT, MCD, MMM, PCAR, PHM, PNR, R, TRU, CB, CMG, COF, CREE, DFS, JNPR, SYK, T, TXN, UHS
26 April 2017- ANTM, BAX, DPS, HES, HSY, NDAQ, NOC, NSC, ROK, PG, SLAB, SONS, STT, STX, TWTR, UTX, X, WM, WRK, WYN, AMGN, CAVM, BWLD, FFIV, NOW, ORLY, PYPL, SAM, TSCO, XLNX
27 April 2017- ABBV, APD, BMY, BSX, BWA, CELG, CMCSA, CME, DOW, F, GRUB, IP, IRM, JCI, LAZ, LLL, LUV, MPC, POT, SIRI, SPG, UAA, UNP, UPS, AIV, AMZN, BIDU, EXPE, GOOGL, GPRO, INTC, MLNX, MAC, MSFT, SBUX, VRTX, WDC
28 April 2017- CL, COG, CVX, GM, GT, HST, LYB, PSX, SYF, VFC, XOM, WY

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January 29, 2017 The Week Ahead

Unless something drastic happens, the month of January will be another strong month for the stock market. However, how long can this low volatility environment continue? After all, it seems like there is one political protest after another in the US, with some uncertainty and concerns about the new President. With that said, the market is telling us something different from what the news is saying. It’s actually pretty wild if you consider that the VIX closed at $10.58 on Friday. Going into the week, traders will be watching earnings and what comes out of the FOMC announcement.

Moving on to energy:

Crude oil futures closed pretty flat on the week, having two out of five winning days. On the other hand, gold futures prices finished the week down more than 1.3%

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) 0.09%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.26%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -1.36%.

Some key earnings include: Apple, Amazon, Exxon, United Parcel Service, Visa and Mastercard to name a few.

Here are a list of events that traders will be watching:

Key Economic Data:
30 Jan 2017- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET
1 Feb 2017- ISM Mfg Index 10:00 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Meeting Announcement 2:00 PM ET
2 Feb 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
3 Feb 2017- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings Release Dates:
30 Jan 2017- EPD, BAH, BOFI, GGG, GGP, PFG, RMBS, SANM
31 Jan 2017- ABC, AET, ALLY, CIT, CNX, COH, HCA, HOG, LLY, LYB, MA, MAN, NDAQ, NUE, PCAR, PFE, S, UA, UPS, VLO, XOM, XRX, AAPL, AMD, APC, CB, CHRW, EA, ILMN, OLN, X
1 Feb 2017- ANTM, ADP, BAX, D, IP, JCI, MO, MPC, MPLX, MTOR, TUP, WEC, AVB, CAVM, CRUS, FB, HOLX, IAC, LM, MAA, MET, MLNX, NXPI, QRVO, SFLY, SYMC, TSCO
2 Feb 2017- S, AZN, BSX, CME, COP, DB, EL, ETN, IP, MMP, NOK, NOV, PM, RDSA, RL, SIRI, VOD, WFT, AMGN, AMZN, CMG, DATA, CY, DATA, DECK, FEYE, FTNT, GIMO, GPOR, V
3 Feb 2017- AN, APO, HSY, WY

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October 23, 2016 The Week Ahead

The S&P 500 closed the week slightly higher snapping a two week losing streak. About one third of the S&P 500 will be reporting in a heavy earnings week. With that said, we’re not that far off all time highs. Some earnings to watch include Apple, Amazon, Google, Coca-Cola, Exxon, and Tesla.

With earnings thus far not that awful and the likelihood of a Hillary win increasing, we saw volatility come in, closing the week at 13.34.

Crude oil futures prices rose about 1% over the week, closing above $50 and not too far off 52-week highs.

Moving on, gold futures prices rose four out of the five trading days and gained more than 1.2%. In addition, T-bond futures prices rose four out of the last five trading days, gaining nearly 1%.

Over the weekend we got news that AT&T would be buying Time Warner for $107.50 per share, or $85.4 billion dollars. It will be interesting to see if we start to see if regulators have any issues with this deal and what it means for the industry.

Here is what else is on the schedule for the upcoming week:

Key Economic Data:
26 Oct 2016- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET; New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
27 Oct 2016- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
28 Oct 2016- GDP 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
24 Oct 2016- BEAV, CYOU, EXP, KMB, PETS, SOHU, TMUS, VFC, AGNC, AVB, CDNS, ISIL, KN, RE, RMBS, SONC, SWFT, V, ZION
25 Oct 2016- AKS, AMTD, BAC, BHI, CAT, CIT, CVLT, EAT, FCX, GLW, GM, JBLU, JNS, KEY, LLY, LMT, MAS, MDSO, MMM, MRK, NLSN, PG, R, S, SHW, TRU, UA, UTX, VLO, WAT, WHR, AAPL, AKAM, CAKE, CB, CHRW, CMG, COF, DFS, ESRX, IRBT, JNPR, NBR, NCR, P, PNRA, T, VRTX
26 Oct 2016- ALLY, BA, BEN, BIIB, BSX, CMCSA, EVER, FCAU, GRMN, GRUB, HBAN, HES, KO, LH, LUV, NOC, OC, PAG, SC, SPG, STT, WM, AXS, BWLD, GRPN, FFIV, INFN, NEM, NXPI, ORLY, SFLY, TSLA, VMW, WDC, TXN, WLL
27 Oct 2016- AET, ALXN, AMT, APD, BMY, BOFI, BWA, BX, CAB, CELG, CL, CLF, CME, COP, DB, DOW, DPS, F, GNC, HACA, IP, LAZ, LLL, MJN, MO, MPC, NOK, NOV, PENN, POT, PX, SIRI,SWK, TMO, TPH, TPX, TROW, UPS, VW, WWE, AIG, AMZN, BIDU, CA, CBI, CRUS, CY, DLR, ELLI, EXPE, FLEX, FTNT, GOOGL, HIG, MCK, PFG, STRZA, SYK, SYNA, TWTR
28 Oct 2016- ABBV, AN, CVX, CBOE, HSY, MA, NWL, PSX, SNY, SHPG, TEN, WY, XOM, XRX, SIMO

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October 25, 2015 The Week Ahead

The S&P 500 continued its hot streak, closing the week up more than 2%. In fact, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) is up more than 7% on the month. Not only that, but we’re about 15% of this year’s lows.

The NASDAQ also got a giant boost after getting good earnings out of the likes of Microsoft, Amazon, and Google.

With that said, the VIX is below 15, a signal that there isn’t much fear in the market at the moment.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down more than 6% on the week. We continue to see a dislocation from the equity market and the energy market.

This is an extremely busy week in regards to earnings and economic data. Key economic information that will be released includes GDP and an FOMC meeting announcement.

On the earnings front we’ll see releases out of the likes of Apple, Starbucks, Twitter, GoPro, Exxon, and Pfizer to name a few.

Key Economic Data:
26 October 2015- New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET
27 October 2015- Durable Goods 8:30 AM ET
28 October 2015- FOMC Meeting Announcement 2:00 PM ET
29 October 2015- GDP 8:30 AM ET, Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
30 October 2015- Personal Income 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
26 October 2015- CHKP, XRX, BRCM, CAKE, HIG, PMCS, PRE
27 October 2015- AKS, AMTD, BEAV, BMY, CMCSA, CNX, COH, DD, F, GLW, GRUB, HUN, KKR, LXK, MAS, MRK, UPS, PFE, WYN, AAPL, AKAM, ESRX, APC, GILD, INFN, MAC, PNRA, SFLY, TER, TWTR, VDSI
28 October 2015- GRMN, HLT, HOT, IMAX, IP, LVLT, MDLZ, NOV, TMUS, VLO, WBA, VW, AMGN, ATML, CRUS, FFIV, GPRO, LOCK, WMB, PYPL, NE, MUR, CAVM
29 October 2015- AET, CLF, COP, ESV, JAH, JCI, KERX, MO, NOK, MTH, TEVA, TWC, VALE, ZBH, BIDU, EA, LNKD, MOBL, SBUX, WU, SCTY
30 October 2015- ABBV, CVS, XOM, MYL, CVX, CL, ETN